Wingate & Finchley vs Waltham Abbey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
ASH
2 - 4
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 1
ASH
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 1
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 1
WAR
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Waltham Abbey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
POT
2 - 2
WAL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 0
THA
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 2
MET
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MET
0 - 0
WAL
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
WAL
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |