Wingate & Finchley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
WIN
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
RED
1 - 2
WIN
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ENF
1 - 2
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
WIN
3 - 3
WAL
67%
19%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
TIL
0 - 0
CHE
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
TIL
0 - 1
THA
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TIL
0 - 2
EAS
12%
18%
70%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TIL
0 - 2
BRE
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
TIL
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |