Wingate & Finchley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
CAN
3 - 0
WIN
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WIN
0 - 2
DAR
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
WIN
3 - 2
ILF
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
WIN
61%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 3
ENF
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
WHI
1 - 0
TIL
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
TIL
3 - 3
ARL
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
TIL
1 - 2
DAR
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 2
TIL
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |