Wingate & Finchley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ENF
2 - 1
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
WHI
1 - 2
WIN
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
WIN
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 0
MAL
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
TIL
2 - 1
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
1 - 1
ILF
40%
25%
36%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
2 - 1
ENF
21%
24%
56%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
POT
3 - 1
TIL
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
TIL
0 - 3
BUR
22%
23%
55%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |