Wingate & Finchley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SIT
2 - 2
WIN
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
BER
3 - 0
WIN
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 4
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
HAR
3 - 1
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 2
DAR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
TIL
1 - 0
BAE
17%
22%
62%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
DAR
6 - 2
TIL
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 1
FAF
15%
21%
64%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ERI
2 - 5
TIL
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 2
WIV
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | -1 |