Wingate & Finchley vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 0
DUL
24%
24%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
FOL
5 - 0
WIN
51%
23%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
TOO
2 - 0
WIN
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
TOO
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
WIN
3 - 1
LEA
41%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 5
THU
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
THU
0 - 1
HEN
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
THU
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
THU
3 - 1
ENF
38%
24%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MER
2 - 1
THU
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |