FA Trophy 1/512
Global 2-3
Wingate & Finchley vs Sittingbourne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 1
WIN
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 1
WIN
47%
26%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
WIN
3 - 0
VCD
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 0
WIN
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 2
WIN
57%
23%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sittingbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 1
WIN
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
COR
1 - 1
SIT
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
SIT
2 - 1
ATK
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WOR
1 - 0
SIT
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |