Wingate & Finchley vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 2
WIN
31%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEA
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LEW
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
19%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
0 - 2
BIS
17%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 0
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 3
BOG
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POT
2 - 0
MER
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MER
0 - 3
COR
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MER
1 - 3
ENF
11%
16%
73%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |