Wingate & Finchley vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
4 - 1
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 0
WEL
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 5
BOG
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WHY
1 - 0
MER
31%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
KIN
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 1
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
EAS
31%
24%
45%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 0
MER
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |