Wingate & Finchley vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 2
DID
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
TON
2 - 1
WIN
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
ENF
40%
23%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WHI
2 - 3
WIN
64%
20%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 3
FOL
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 3
MER
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
CRA
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
POT
25%
23%
53%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
DOR
2 - 2
MER
70%
17%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
BRI
55%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |