Wingate & Finchley vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2008 |
RED
1 - 0
WIN
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 3
AVE
24%
25%
51%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 1
WIN
32%
27%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
ARL
0 - 2
WIN
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ARL
3 - 1
MAL
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MAL
3 - 0
ILF
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WAL
3 - 5
MAL
23%
27%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
MAL
4 - 2
WIV
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2008 |
RED
1 - 3
MAL
51%
25%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |