Wingate & Finchley vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 1
EAS
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LEI
2 - 3
WIN
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
WIN
1 - 0
UXB
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BOR
3 - 0
WIN
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
WIN
0 - 1
GRE
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2005 |
ERI
2 - 3
MAL
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
MAL
1 - 0
BAE
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
TIL
0 - 7
MAL
20%
23%
56%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
MAL
3 - 1
GRE
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
LEI
0 - 1
MAL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |