Wingate & Finchley vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
LEA
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRA
1 - 2
WIN
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 1
BUR
69%
18%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 0
HAR
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
HAV
1 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEI
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
4 - 0
CAN
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
4 - 1
BIL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 6
LEI
17%
21%
62%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
LEI
5 - 1
NEE
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |