Wingate & Finchley vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 1
WIN
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 3
FAR
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 2
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 2
ROY
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 2
COR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LEI
3 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 3
LEI
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
KIN
1 - 0
LEI
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |