Wingate & Finchley vs Leiston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BUR
4 - 2
WIN
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 1
EAS
30%
23%
48%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
KIN
0 - 1
WIN
70%
17%
12%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
HIT
3 - 0
WIN
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 2
HIT
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leiston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 2
LEI
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WHI
5 - 1
LEI
63%
21%
16%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 2
LEI
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 1
HAM
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
LEI
1 - 2
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |