Wingate & Finchley vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 3
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
4 - 1
LEW
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
KIN
3 - 2
WIN
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
4 - 1
WIN
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
WIN
1 - 4
FOL
15%
18%
67%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HOR
5 - 2
ENF
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 1
HOR
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
0 - 1
BOG
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
1 - 2
CHE
60%
20%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 1
KIN
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |