Wingate & Finchley vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
RED
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
TIL
1 - 2
WIN
26%
25%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WIN
2 - 1
BRE
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
POT
4 - 4
WIN
19%
24%
58%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
NEE
4 - 1
WIN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
MER
2 - 2
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
WAL
2 - 0
HOR
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 0
FLE
29%
24%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 1
WHY
52%
24%
25%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |