Wingate & Finchley vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LEW
0 - 0
WIN
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
WIN
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEA
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
DUL
2 - 1
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TON
4 - 3
WIN
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
HEN
1 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 2
CAN
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LEW
2 - 2
HEN
23%
23%
54%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
LEW
60%
21%
18%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
HEN
2 - 0
STA
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |