Wingate & Finchley vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEW
3 - 0
WIN
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 0
WIN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 0
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ENF
2 - 3
WIN
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 0
TON
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 4
GRA
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAM
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 3
HAR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
HEN
2 - 0
HAR
59%
22%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 3
WHI
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |