Wingate & Finchley vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
POT
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 3
BOG
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
WIN
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 0
HAR
21%
23%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOW
3 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
0 - 1
HAS
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
HAR
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |