Wingate & Finchley vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
BIL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
3 - 2
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 2
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
0 - 2
CAN
45%
24%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
TOO
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 3
HAR
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
1 - 1
HAS
63%
20%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
LOW
1 - 2
HAR
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
0 - 4
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |