Wingate & Finchley vs Folkestone Invicta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
HOR
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WOR
2 - 1
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
ROY
1 - 2
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
WIN
2 - 2
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 1
WIN
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
COR
1 - 3
FOL
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 3
ENF
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 5
MAI
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
GIL
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
HEN
4 - 0
FOL
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |