Wingate & Finchley vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 2
GRA
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 2
ROY
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
WIN
1 - 3
HAM
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
WIN
37%
23%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
WIN
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 2
BID
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BID
1 - 1
FAR
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
3 - 1
FAR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FAR
3 - 0
VCD
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
4 - 2
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |