FA Cup 1/1024
Global 1-2
Wingate & Finchley vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
WIN
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
THA
0 - 4
WIN
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 2
POT
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
2 - 3
WIN
23%
23%
53%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
1 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
HOR
26%
24%
50%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
CRA
8 - 0
LNH
75%
14%
10%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LNH
1 - 1
CRA
12%
15%
74%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
DUL
2 - 1
CRA
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |