Wingate & Finchley vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
38%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WHI
3 - 1
WIN
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
POT
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 3
BOG
36%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
THU
1 - 2
WIN
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
CON
48%
23%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KET
0 - 3
CON
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CON
2 - 2
WEA
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HEN
2 - 2
CON
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CON
0 - 3
KIN
44%
24%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |