Wingate & Finchley vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KIN
2 - 2
WIN
57%
22%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
HOR
40%
24%
36%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
AVE
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
CON
2 - 3
KIN
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
CON
2 - 3
HAR
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
0 - 3
CON
23%
23%
55%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |