Wingate & Finchley vs Concord Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
THA
1 - 2
WIN
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
3 - 4
WIN
25%
25%
51%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 2
WIN
45%
26%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
ILF
1 - 1
WIN
16%
23%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
WIN
0 - 0
MAL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concord Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 2
CON
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
CON
3 - 0
TIL
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
WAL
0 - 3
CON
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CON
2 - 0
WAL
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CON
1 - 1
ENF
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |