Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
HAR
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEI
1 - 2
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 3
WIN
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
0 - 2
BOG
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 2
FOL
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
2 - 1
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
1 - 3
FOL
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAN
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MET
0 - 4
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAN
0 - 1
TON
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |