Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
2 - 1
CON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
ENF
2 - 0
WIN
36%
24%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEA
0 - 0
WIN
30%
24%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LON
0 - 4
WIN
9%
15%
76%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
6 - 0
NEE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FAR
2 - 6
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 1
VCD
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
KIN
2 - 1
CAN
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
IPS
1 - 0
CAN
15%
19%
67%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 3
GRA
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |