Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 1
PEA
49%
22%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BOG
3 - 2
WIN
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 1
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
2 - 1
WIN
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 0
VCD
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 3
LEI
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 2
CAN
44%
25%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 1
LEA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
HAV
3 - 0
CAN
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 0
HAV
27%
27%
47%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |