Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
2 - 1
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 2
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
WIN
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 5
HEN
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
5 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 2
CAN
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 1
LEA
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CON
1 - 2
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 3
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |