Wingate & Finchley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
POT
1 - 0
WIN
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 2
WIV
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
WIN
2 - 2
WAR
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
ENF
0 - 1
WIN
62%
23%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
RED
0 - 0
CAN
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAL
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
POT
0 - 3
CAN
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
WAR
0 - 3
CAN
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 1
EDT
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |