Wingate & Finchley vs Bowers and Pitsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 0
WIN
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
AVE
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FOL
2 - 1
WIN
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 2
WIN
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
LEW
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bowers and Pitsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
1 - 1
CAN
23%
21%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ENF
2 - 0
BOW
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
2 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BOW
0 - 2
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COR
4 - 1
BOW
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |