Wingate & Finchley vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
WAL
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
0 - 2
WIN
23%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
MAL
3 - 1
WIN
63%
20%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
3 - 0
SIT
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
2 - 1
HAR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
SIT
2 - 3
BER
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
BER
4 - 3
DAR
26%
24%
50%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HAR
0 - 4
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BER
1 - 1
BAE
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2004 |
BEA
4 - 0
BER
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |