Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
WIN
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
BIL
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
3 - 2
HOR
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 2
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 2
AVE
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 2
MET
28%
26%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 3
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
AVE
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
AVE
2 - 3
HOR
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |