Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
44.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
ENF
2 - 0
WIN
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WIN
2 - 2
EAS
41%
25%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
WIN
3 - 2
ENF
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
WIN
4 - 3
HIL
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
WAL
1 - 2
AVE
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 2
POT
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 2
AVE
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 2
WAL
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |