Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
WIN
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TIL
2 - 1
WIN
32%
27%
42%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
ARL
0 - 2
WIN
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
WAR
3 - 1
WIN
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 0
POT
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 3
AVE
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
WAR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BRE
1 - 1
AVE
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 0
NOR
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |