Wingate & Finchley vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
26%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 0
CAN
23%
25%
53%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 0
WIN
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 0
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 2
WIN
56%
23%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 4
BER
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 0
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AVE
3 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
2 - 0
UXB
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
POT
4 - 1
AVE
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 0
ENF
22%
24%
55%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |