Wingate & Finchley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
WIN
38%
23%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
WIN
2 - 2
ENF
38%
24%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
GRE
3 - 2
WIN
20%
23%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
WIN
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 0
ILF
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TIL
1 - 2
YEL
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
YEL
2 - 4
WAL
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ENF
2 - 0
YEL
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
YEL
1 - 0
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |