Wingate & Finchley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 0
BUR
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
RED
1 - 0
WIN
31%
28%
41%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 0
ARL
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 3
TIL
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ENF
2 - 1
WIN
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
WAL
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
6 - 3
ILF
76%
15%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2007 |
YEL
1 - 1
HOR
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BUR
1 - 4
YEL
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
HAR
2 - 1
YEL
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |