Windsor Arch Ka I vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.7%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 1
WAK
63%
17%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
WAK
3 - 1
LUL
57%
19%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 1
WAK
54%
20%
27%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
WAK
1 - 1
CPO
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BEN
4 - 0
WAK
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
PSP
4 - 3
CPO
7%
13%
80%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHF
1 - 0
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
PSP
0 - 3
CPK
3%
9%
88%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PSP
0 - 4
BEN
3%
8%
89%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HSA
2 - 1
PSP
88%
9%
4%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |