Windsor Arch Ka I vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
MCA
6 - 5
WAK
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
WAK
5 - 0
ALF
75%
14%
11%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 2
WAK
47%
20%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 8
BEN
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
1 - 1
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -11 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 6
SMA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 2
PSP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 0
PSP
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 3
CHF
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |