Windsor Arch Ka I vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
WAK
4 - 0
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
WAK
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WAK
5 - 1
CPK
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
WAK
37%
23%
41%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
KTM
0 - 1
WAK
43%
22%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
PSP
2 - 2
KLM
68%
19%
14%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
LLM
0 - 1
PSP
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PSP
0 - 7
BEN
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CPK
1 - 4
PSP
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 3
PSP
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |