Windsor Arch Ka I vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
HFM
2 - 4
WAK
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
WAK
2 - 1
VCM
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GDA
1 - 3
WAK
27%
25%
49%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
WAK
1 - 1
MAC
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GLP
1 - 0
WAK
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
PSP
1 - 0
VCM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
PSP
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PSP
1 - 0
HLM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HFM
4 - 3
PSP
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PSP
2 - 0
GDA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |