Windsor Arch Ka I vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
4 - 0
PSP
92%
6%
2%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
WAK
0 - 3
BEN
54%
19%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +17 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CPK
1 - 0
WAK
48%
20%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
WAK
1 - 1
SMA
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
WAK
3 - 0
CPO
67%
17%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CPO
0 - 16
MCA
12%
15%
74%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAI
0 - 5
MCA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +14 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MCA
4 - 0
CLU
61%
18%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
KLM
0 - 5
MCA
40%
21%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 0
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |