Windsor Arch Ka I vs Alfândega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Windsor Arch Ka I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
CHF
2 - 2
WAK
47%
20%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 8
BEN
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
1 - 1
CPK
28%
22%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -11 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
WAK
11 - 1
LAI
93%
6%
2%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
WAK
7 - 1
HSA
61%
19%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +10 |
Matches
Alfândega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 2
SMA
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 0
ALF
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MCA
5 - 0
ALF
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
HSA
2 - 1
ALF
63%
19%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 3
CHF
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -3 |