Wincrange vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
57.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ERP
4 - 2
WIN
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JGI
4 - 2
WIN
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 2
DCE
31%
21%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RLL
1 - 2
WIN
11%
16%
74%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 7
ATE
11%
14%
75%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 1
DCE
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
RLL
0 - 5
MER
8%
12%
80%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
ATE
14%
18%
69%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
JEU
3 - 0
MER
51%
21%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MER
1 - 3
FEU
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |