Wincrange vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
3 - 3
JEU
54%
19%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
WIN
0 - 2
FCR
11%
16%
74%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CHR
0 - 5
WIN
11%
16%
74%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
0 - 6
KAE
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
RTR
0 - 2
WIN
10%
14%
76%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
4 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
JEU
52%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 2
PRO
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KAE
1 - 1
PRO
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |