Wincrange vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MLI
3 - 0
WIN
73%
16%
12%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
WIN
1 - 5
MAM
21%
24%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WIN
3 - 1
FEU
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ORA
6 - 0
WIN
65%
18%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
WIN
2 - 0
BOE
42%
24%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 1
ORA
44%
23%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BOE
1 - 0
LOR
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
AVE
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 0
LOR
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 1
YBD
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |