Wincrange vs Bastendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
54.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wincrange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
WIN
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
JGI
58%
18%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 1
ERP
22%
19%
59%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DCE
1 - 0
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 1
RLL
92%
5%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 6
DCE
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RLL
0 - 5
BAS
9%
14%
77%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 3
ATE
16%
19%
64%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 5
FEU
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JEU
1 - 1
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |